Contextual Conditional Models for Smartphone-based Human Mobility Prediction
Type of publication: | Conference paper |
Citation: | Do_UBICOMP_2012 |
Publication status: | Accepted |
Booktitle: | Proceedings of the 14th ACM International Conference on Ubiquitous Computing |
Year: | 2012 |
Month: | September |
Abstract: | Human behavior is often complex and context-dependent. This paper presents a general technique to exploit this ``multidimensional'' contextual variable for human mobility prediction. We use an ensemble method, in which we extract different mobility patterns with multiple models and then combine these models under a probabilistic framework. The key idea lies in the assumption that human mobility can be explained by several mobility patterns that depend on a subset of the contextual variables and these can be learned by a simple model. We showed how this idea can be applied to two specific online prediction tasks: \textit{what is the next place a user will visit?} and \textit{how long will he stay in the current place?}. Using smartphone data collected from 153 users during 17 months, we show the potential of our method in predicting human mobility in real life. |
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Idiap NOKIA |
Authors | |
Added by: | [UNK] |
Total mark: | 0 |
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